Wednesday, April 7, 2010

The Surge Debate

For whatever reason there is a debate over whether or not the Surge succeeded. Zen Pundit has probably the best coverage while Abu Muqawama is the one that picked the fight with the blogosphere. I will let Tom Ricks start this one off.





Now let expand on one of the very important points he brings up in the beginning. The new strategy for Iraq was announce by then-President Bush. Before the US press started calling it "the surge" it was known as "The New Way Forward in Iraq."

The President's New Iraq Strategy Is Rooted In Six Fundamental Elements:

   1. Let the Iraqis lead;
   2. Help Iraqis protect the population;
   3. Isolate extremists;
   4. Create space for political progress;
   5. Diversify political and economic efforts; and
   6. Situate the strategy in a regional approach.
Number 4 is the specific one mentioned by Ricks. But the "New Way Forward" is not the only officially stated means to measure success.

On May 25, 2007, H.R. 2206 the U.S. Troop Readiness, Veterans' Care, Katrina Recovery, and Iraq Accountability Appropriations Act, 2007 became Public Law No: 110-28. This was better known for having the "18 Benchmarks for Success in Iraq."

   1. Forming a Constitutional Review Committee and then completing the constitutional review.

   2. Enacting and implementing legislation on de-Ba’athification.

   3. Enacting and implementing legislation to ensure the equitable distribution of hydrocarbon resources of the people of Iraq without regard to the sect or ethnicity of recipients, and enacting and implementing legislation to ensure that the energy resources of Iraq benefit Sunni Arabs, Shia Arabs, Kurds, and other Iraqi citizens in an equitable manner.

   4. Enacting and implementing legislation on procedures to form semi-autonomous regions.

   5. Enacting and implementing legislation establishing an Independent High Electoral Commission, provincial elections law, provincial council authorities, and a date for provincial elections.

   6. Enacting and implementing legislation addressing amnesty.

   7. Enacting and implementing legislation establishing a strong militia disarmament program to ensure that such security forces are accountable only to the central government and loyal to the Constitution of Iraq.

   8. Establishing supporting political, media, economic, and services committees in support of the Baghdad security plan.

   9. Providing three trained and ready Iraqi brigades to support Baghdad operations.

  10. Providing Iraqi commanders with all authorities to execute this plan and to make tactical and operational decisions, in consultation with U.S. commanders, without political intervention, to include the authority to pursue all extremists, including Sunni insurgents and Shiite militias.

  11. Ensuring that the Iraqi security forces are providing even-handed enforcement of the law.

  12. Ensuring that, according to President Bush, Prime Minister Maliki said “the Baghdad security plan will not provide a safe haven for any outlaws, regardless of [their] sectarian or political affiliation.”

  13. Reducing the level of sectarian violence in Iraq and eliminating militia control of local security.

  14. Establishing all of the planned joint security stations in neighborhoods across Baghdad.

  15. Increasing the number of Iraqi security forces’ units capable of operating independently.

  16. Ensuring that the rights of minority political parties in the Iraqi legislature are protected.

  17. Allocating and spending $10 billion in Iraqi revenues for reconstruction projects, including delivery of essential services, on an equitable basis.

  18. Ensuring that Iraq’s political authorities are not undermining or making false accusations against members of the Iraqi security forces.

Now that we have the official "metrics" from the then-President and the official means of measuring success that was passed by Congress and signed into law by the President, the debate can continue.

My personal assessment is that the war is still going on. We simply cannot say whether it was a success yet. If there is any question to answer it would be this one.

Have any troops been authorized weekend leave in Baghdad? Saigon was safe enough for R&R.